Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 5.720682 6.658545 7.667216 8.828681 10.125016 11.523229 13.141115
2025-03-23 4.411708 5.683588 7.158397 8.978174 11.145591 13.626556 16.662217
2025-03-30 3.375342 4.797174 6.567586 8.894452 11.829381 15.364249 19.895296
2025-04-06 2.483539 3.902910 5.800903 8.452504 11.981724 16.434235 22.382731
2025-04-13 1.824158 3.174774 5.113347 7.985116 12.003721 17.291935 24.621770
2025-04-20 1.539118 2.921494 5.026051 8.294752 13.052643 19.520215 28.737668
2025-04-27 1.393698 2.851886 5.185857 8.955886 14.621938 22.526122 34.040481
2025-05-04 1.237980 2.730783 5.240609 9.450334 15.971037 25.289091 39.138905
2025-05-11 1.030350 2.472222 5.031131 9.500517 16.647392 27.119120 43.008877
2025-05-18 0.817173 2.152634 4.666234 9.249135 16.824354 28.212126 45.857564
2025-05-25 0.651829 1.887267 4.351954 9.035867 17.024701 29.325096 48.756263
2025-06-01 0.537240 1.701608 4.153607 8.992049 17.478404 30.822705 52.260226
2025-06-08 0.428835 1.503888 3.907696 8.848233 17.775234 32.126047 55.586908
2025-06-15 0.389272 1.469645 3.990248 9.319415 19.146427 35.181835 61.705570
2025-06-22 0.327579 1.357018 3.888025 9.425413 19.887162 37.262279 66.399532
2025-06-29 0.248486 1.163977 3.572207 9.072913 19.782352 37.957102 68.947345
2025-07-06 0.182388 0.980556 3.239991 8.641109 19.489277 38.310542 70.949229
2025-07-13 0.163379 0.953313 3.286341 9.008816 20.703617 41.242320 77.189609
2025-07-20 0.160266 0.986066 3.491801 9.738148 22.642313 45.476440 85.669330
2025-07-27 0.149828 0.985818 3.609325 10.280988 24.247280 49.188646 93.394718
2025-08-03 0.124931 0.913112 3.517609 10.343362 24.917335 51.300577 98.540950
2025-08-10 0.095620 0.802202 3.295494 10.079503 24.920196 52.234985 101.749270
2025-08-17 0.073136 0.708015 3.100611 9.854120 24.978000 53.257716 105.123067